Cocoa, Coffee, and Corn at Risk – How Climate Change is Reshaping Food Supply

Editorial TeamEditorial Team
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March 14th, 2025
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11:56 AM

Climate change is putting cocoa, coffee, and corn at risk, causing supply shortages and price volatility. Discover how businesses are securing their supply chains and investing in sustainability.

Food Industry Faces Climate Threats – Shifts Focus Amid Supply Risks Extreme weather events are no longer sporadic disruptions but persistent threats to global supply chains. The food and beverage industry, in particular, is grappling with the increasing volatility of essential commodities such as cocoa, coffee, sugar, olive oil, and corn. With climate change exacerbating droughts, floods, and tropical storms, manufacturers are facing supply shortages, price spikes, and heightened risks. To mitigate these challenges, industry leaders are investing in sustainability, forging resilient partnerships, and advocating for policy reforms. This article explores how businesses can secure their supply chains against climate risks while maintaining a commitment to sustainability.

Climate Change and the Growing Supply Chain Crisis

The impact of climate change on agricultural production is undeniable. According to Jon Davis, chief meteorologist at Everstream Analytics, the frequency and severity of extreme weather events have been escalating for decades, directly affecting food security and commodity markets. In the 2024/25 season, global corn stocks are projected to decline by over 10 million metric tons, reaching their lowest levels since 2020/21 (ING Global Markets Research). Cocoa, coffee, and sugar have also experienced significant price hikes, placing additional strain on manufacturers and consumers alike.

The Business Response: Strengthening Supply Chain Resilience

To safeguard supply chains, major food and beverage companies are prioritizing sustainable and regenerative agriculture. Nestlé, for example, has committed substantial investments to help farmers transition to climate-resilient practices by improving soil health, enhancing biodiversity, and reducing dependency on chemical inputs. As Peter Wortsman, a partner at European Food and Farming Partnerships (EFFP), points out, a healthier ecosystem is more resistant to climate shocks, ensuring long-term supply stability.

Beyond individual company initiatives, industry-wide collaboration is emerging as a key strategy. Businesses that do not own their farms are forging strategic partnerships with suppliers, adopting long-term procurement contracts, and investing in landscape-scale sustainability programs. This approach not only mitigates risk but also strengthens supplier relationships, fostering mutual trust and economic stability.

Exploring Alternatives and Innovation

While some companies focus on climate adaptation, others are diversifying their ingredient sources to reduce exposure to volatile markets. For instance, sugar beet—historically vulnerable to climate fluctuations—is being phased out in favor of more resilient sugar cane. Similarly, coffee producers are shifting toward agroforestry models that enhance soil moisture retention and reduce heat stress on crops.

Innovation in agricultural technology is also playing a role. Precision farming, AI-driven weather forecasting, and drought-resistant crop varieties are helping farmers optimize production under unpredictable climate conditions. These technological advancements, coupled with financial incentives for sustainable practices, are reshaping the future of food supply chains.

The Role of Policy in Securing Sustainable Supply Chains

Despite private-sector efforts, climate resilience cannot be achieved without supportive regulatory frameworks. Governments play a crucial role in setting sustainability standards, aligning incentives, and enforcing fair trade policies. For example, the European Union's approach to neonicotinoid restrictions highlights the importance of policy consistency—while European farmers face bans on these pesticides, imports from countries that still use them remain unrestricted, creating an uneven playing field.

A coordinated policy response is essential to prevent further supply chain disruptions. Standardized sustainability metrics, subsidies for climate-smart agriculture, and trade policies that protect domestic producers from unfair competition are among the measures that could drive meaningful change. Without government intervention, businesses will continue to face heightened risks of food shortages, inflation, and geopolitical instability.

Conclusion

As climate change reshapes global supply chains, the food and beverage industry must evolve to ensure resilience and sustainability. By investing in regenerative agriculture, forging long-term supplier partnerships, leveraging technological innovations, and advocating for supportive policies, businesses can mitigate climate risks while securing their operations. However, the path to sustainable supply chains requires collective action—from corporations, governments, and consumers alike. Companies that take proactive steps today will not only safeguard their supply chains but also position themselves as leaders in the transition toward a more sustainable future.